2009 IEEE International Conference on
Systems, Man, and Cybernetics |
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Abstract
Though probability weather forecasts such as seasonal forecasts offer several benefits over categorical forecasts, they have not been used effectively in practical application. Recently, a new type of probability forecast named early warning information on extreme weather has started service in Japan. It has much more information available than previous seasonal forecasts. This paper describes a way of decision making using early warning information on extreme weather, and considers inventory management at a small shop as an example.